Monday, October 4, 2010

The Future of the G20 in Good Times and Bad

The Future of the G20 in Good Times and Bad

[Available as a PowerPoint Presentation on SlideShare http://slideshare.net/slimfairview

1. Establish a Crisis Management team with an established MIS for a continuity of operations plan.

2. Determine potential threats from those outside the G20. Coordinate a defense plan among the G20 nations.

3. Quantify the needs of the people of each of the countries, the resources available from each of the G20 countries and establish a coordinated distribution system for the resources available.

4. Create a forecasting team to create a snapshot of the situation and to plan a recovery strategy.

5. Leave my phone number with the secretary.


Follow Up

A: What are the potential threats?

1. Military invasion
2. Population dislocation
3. Starvation, disease, violence
4. Political unrest
5. Propaganda

(3 and 4 are also internal threats.)


B: Can you please identify the source or sources of threat?

1. Hostile nations
2. Displaced persons
3. Agents provocateur
4. Propaganda

C: What will be your single point defense plan in addition to (3) and (4) which are precisely what the G20 needs to immediately do?

Disseminate information trusted to be authentic:

Disseminate information directly through all available media to the greatest number of people apprising them of the situation and reassuring them of official protection and support.

Disseminate information through pre-determined media to principals responsible for the mobilisation of forces to repulse external attack, and to internal organisations responsible for the protection of civilians.

However, in the event that all goes well:


I will now leave my comfort-zone of being analytical to being philosophical. The economists will know if there is any value in what I have to say on the G20 plan.

A. Link the currency exchange rate to the trade deficit/surplus numbers in a way that would balance out the trade and currency issues. My guess would be that this would:

1. Help to stabilise the playing field discouraging trade wars.

2. Encourage co-operation instead of competition among the nations while at the same time encouraging competition within industries to become more efficient thus cost-effective.

B. Encourage both shared biotechnology and the establishment of a food bank to stabilise the food supply, among the G20 and to stabilise emerging nations by being able to offset political and civil unrest arising from lack of food.

C. Provide for the co-operation among those in the pharmaceutical industry to develop what will be necessary to inveigh against existing and emerging diseases. (Op. cit. B)

D. Establish an intra-G20 agency to inventory energy resources, calculate energy needs, an forecast future energy needs among the G20 nations and among the non-G20 nations.

E. Please, forgive me for my little joke about my leaving my phone number with the secretary.

Warmest regards,

Slim

Mail: slimfairview@yahoo.com

Copyright (c) 2010 Slim Fairview

1 comment:

Maureen said...

Dear Slim,

Recognizing that the G20 is comprised of governmental, political leaders, one could easily imagine that their agenda and priorities are unlike other orgs wherein there exists complete stakeholder representation, such as private and public sectors that would surely influence their agenda.

As I understand, the discussion was started by Zahid Hussain in the Strategic Planning Xchange group on Linkedin. The heading was: If you, as a Strategic Planning Expert, are asked to prepare a Global Financial Rescue Plan for G20 what will be the five most important salient features of that plan?

This is my feedback to this issue and the order of items does not represent any particular priority:

Interdependence, increased focus, dialogue, diplomacy – focus on peace initiatives and increased collaboration and cooperation within the G20 and outside of the G20
Improved International Trade and Resolving Monetary Issues
Economic empowerment in particular to developing nations and women in general
Education, much is needed worldwide in this area more suitable to today’s realities as well as addressing the lack of education for many women worldwide
Environment and Energy, clean technology and smart energy
Global Health, the full gambit of issues from diseases to hunger
Financial Regulation, Transparency, Responsible Banking
Strengthening Market Based Solutions
Collaborative Technologies in support of economic (including market based solutions) and social change issues; supporting mobile revolution transforming access, markets and development

Perhaps such a list might seem idealistic although I surely do not consider myself one. I am sure that if there was a will for such an agenda, it would bring about more human progress, a more peaceful world which would eliminate excessive expenditures on armaments, military personnel and failed security strategies.

My best regards,

Maureen Kelsey